Can logistics professionals get an EB-2 NIW? What 121 AAO decisions say
Published AAO non-precedent decisions, 2017–2025 · updated 2026-10-16
Between 2017 and 2025 the AAO published 121 EB-2 NIW appeal decisions from logistics & supply chain petitioners; 1 was sustained and 113 dismissed. The most common ground for dismissal: proposed endeavor not shown to have national importance (77 of the 112 merits dismissals, 69%). Second: advanced degree or exceptional ability not established (31, 28%). What the sustained decision had: endeavor tied to a documented national priority or broad population; independent, specific expert letters. These are appeals of denials, not all adjudications, so the dismissal rate is not an initial-filing approval rate; it shows which arguments the AAO rejected on appeal and which it accepted.
What the decisions say
Grounds for dismissal, by frequency
- 77 of 112 Proposed endeavor not shown to have national importance
“The AAO determined that the petitioner's plan to start a cargo transportation company did not demonstrate the necessary broader implications, such as significant potential for U.S.” AAO, 2024
- 31 of 112 Advanced degree or exceptional ability not established
“Although the petitioner possessed advanced degrees in chemistry and materials science, he did not demonstrate that his proposed endeavor as a truck driver and logistics business owner is a 'profession' that requires such a degree.” AAO, 2023
What the 1 sustained decision had
- 1 of 1 Endeavor tied to a documented national priority or broad population
“The AAO found that the petitioner's proposed endeavor to improve transportation forecasting models has both substantial merit and national importance.” AAO, 2022
- 1 of 1 Independent, specific expert letters
“Furthermore, the petitioner's advanced degrees, publications, citations, and expert recommendations established that he is well-positioned to advance his research.” AAO, 2022
- 1 of 1 Published, cited, or adopted work
“Furthermore, the petitioner's advanced degrees, publications, citations, and expert recommendations established that he is well-positioned to advance his research.” AAO, 2022
Outcomes by Year
| Year | Dismissed | Sustained | Remanded | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 (—) | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2024 | 54 (93.1%) | 0 | 4 | 58 |
| 2023 | 37 (94.9%) | 0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2022 | 8 (—) | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 2021 | 7 (—) | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2020 | 1 (—) | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 (—) | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Criteria Breakdown
| Criterion | In Dismissed | In Sustained | Total | Dismissal Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prong 1: Substantial merit and national importance | 112 | 1 | 120 | 93.3% |
| Prong 2: Well positioned to advance the endeavor | 71 | 1 | 79 | 89.9% |
| Prong 3: On balance, waiver benefits the U.S. | 68 | 1 | 76 | 89.5% |
| Exceptional ability | 67 | 0 | 70 | 95.7% |
| Advanced degree | 37 | 0 | 40 | 92.5% |
Example Decisions
NYSDOT-era decisions (pre-2017)
Outcomes by Year
| Year | Dismissed | Sustained | Remanded | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 1 (—) | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 (—) | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2011 | 5 (—) | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2007 | 1 (—) | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Criteria Discussed
| Criterion | In Dismissed | In Sustained | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intrinsic merit (NYSDOT) | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| National in scope (NYSDOT) | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Substantially greater degree than U.S. worker (NYSDOT) | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Advanced degree | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Exceptional ability | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Sample: published AAO non-precedent decisions collected from uscis.gov. EB-2 NIW statistics reflect the Dhanasar framework era (2017–2025); the prior NYSDOT framework applied different legal standards. These are appeals, not all USCIS adjudications; approval rates here are not initial-filing approval rates. Read our full methodology.
Get Your Free Strategy Preview →